Lockdown-3 is all set to end in three days, and people are expecting relaxation now. If travel restrictions are lifted and markets are opened, the central government’s prediction of the peak in Covid-19 cases could become a reality. As per the projections, an average number of cases in 10 days during the peak of Covid-19 from May 15 to 31 could be 75,801 in 11 districts of Vidarbha, including 18,902 from Nagpur district, of which 11,114 in the city and remaining 7,788 from rural parts of the district.
According to doctors treating Covid-19 patients, both surge and flattening of the curve of Covid-19 is possible in the Vidarbha region. “We are hoping for the best and prepared for the worst,” said Dr. Mohd Faizal, nodal officer of the Covid Hospital at GMCH. “Even if the projected number of patients get reported in the next 10 days, we have enough ICUs, ventilators, and HDUs, as well as teams of doctors to treat them,” he said.
Nodal officer of the Covid hospital at IGGMCH Dr. Sagar Pande claimed that the situation is not that bad. “Thanks to lockdown, we have good control over the spread of infection. I think people have enough awareness about the Covid distancing and other rules. Some surge in many patients is expected post lockdown, but we are not very likely to reach the projected figure,” he said.
At present, the number of patients is very less as compared to the central government’s projections for the peak in Vidarbha. But, after lockdown, if people don’t follow the Covid distancing rules, the surge is very much possible.
“Several changes in policy are for the good of common people. According to new rules, the Covid-19 test is not needed for discharge if the patient is not showing any symptoms for 10 days. This will reduce up to 50% a load of repeat tests on Covid labs,” said an in-charge official at one of the labs in the city. As per the present policy, the Covid-19 test of every patient is done on the 7th, 14, and 15th day of admission. All these will be skipped now.
The load on hospitals will also reduce as the central government has allowed Home Isolation of patients to have only mild symptoms. “Those who don’t have the facility of home isolation can stay in makeshift Covid care centers. like the one made off Kalmeshwar Road. In this way, beds in hospitals and ICUs will be utilized only for those who need it,” said a senior doctor from the medicine department. He claimed that many asymptomatic patients have been occupying ICU beds for no reason over the last two weeks in Nagpur.
RISKS AFTER RELAXATION
No travel ban | Travellers from hotspot areas may bring infection
Markets | Crowded markets with no Covid distancing may be risky Festivals | Shani Amavasya, Ramzan Eid may bring people together
READINESS FOR RISKS
Covid Hospitals | Two Covid hospitals in Nagpur have 1,200 beds
Ventilators, ICUs | 600 ICU beds, 250 ventilators ready, 1,000 can be added with Pvt support
Covid Care Centers | 12,000-bed capacity, 42 quarantine centers ready
RELIEF AMIDST RISKS
Home isolation | Pre-symptomatic positive patients can be isolated at home if they have facilities
New discharge policy | Patients with mild or very mild symptoms can go home on 10th day without tests
(With inputs from ndtv)